Current:Home > reviewsThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -TradeSphere
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
View
Date:2025-04-25 11:00:04
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (796)
Related
- Global Warming Set the Stage for Los Angeles Fires
- Michael Jackson's Youngest Son Bigi Blanket Jackson Looks So Grown Up on 22nd Birthday
- YouTuber Ruby Franke's Lawyer Reveals Why She Won’t Appeal Up to 30-Year Prison Sentence
- How to watch Dodgers vs. Padres MLB spring training opener: Time, TV channel
- Selena Gomez's "Weird Uncles" Steve Martin and Martin Short React to Her Engagement
- Death of Nex Benedict did not result from trauma, police say; many questions remain
- If you love courtroom dramas, this Oscar-nominated film is not to be missed
- Wait for Taylor Swift merch in Australia longer than the actual Eras Tour concert
- Chuck Scarborough signs off: Hoda Kotb, Al Roker tribute legendary New York anchor
- Justin Fields trade possibilities: Which teams make most sense as landing spots for Bears QB?
Ranking
- This was the average Social Security benefit in 2004, and here's what it is now
- Feast your eyes on Taiwan's distinct food (and understand a history of colonization)
- This woman is living with terminal cancer. She's documenting her story on TikTok.
- Haley says embryos 'are babies,' siding with Alabama court ruling that could limit IVF
- 2025 'Doomsday Clock': This is how close we are to self
- Sex ed classes in some states may soon watch a fetal development video from an anti-abortion group
- Find out who's calling, use AI and more with 15 smart tech tips
- WNBA legend Sue Bird says Iowa's Caitlin Clark will have 'success early' in league. Here's why
Recommendation
What to watch: O Jolie night
Proposed Louisiana bill would eliminate parole opportunity for most convicted in the future
Sean 'Diddy' Combs denies claims he gang raped 17-year-old girl
Trump, GOP lag Biden and Democrats in fundraising as campaigns look to general election
Man can't find second winning lottery ticket, sues over $394 million jackpot, lawsuit says
I Took a Deep Dive into Lululemon’s We Made Too Much Section – Here Are the New Finds & Hidden Gems
Motocross star Jayden 'Jayo' Archer, the first to land triple backflip, dies practicing trick
AT&T cellphone service out for tens of thousands across the country